October 30, 2012
lawful: zainyk: jakke: Oh hey so according to Gallup the story that everyone on tumblr has been telling about early voters favouring Obama is entirely inaccurate. Early voters have been favouring Romney in a big way. A six-point gap is quite large compared to the margin of error on a poll this size. This story has been everywhere for the last day or so, presumably this lead could be made up of increased early voting in safe red states… and if this is so monumental why then does gallup basically write it off? From their report: “Political impact of early voting looks minimal…Thus far, early voters do not seem to be swaying the election toward either candidate.” and also this: Here are Gallup’s stats from October 28, 2008: Obama led in early voting by 15 points (55/40).  His election day edge was just three points.  He ended up winning by seven points.  One more note.  According to Gallup, by 10/28/08, the percentage of Americans who said they’d already voted or planned to vote early was 33 percent.  Four years later, that number sits at…33 percent. NEWSFLASH - Gallup has no clue who is leading in early voting because they’re sampling and the actual results are not public record until after the election! Hooray! Here, Nerds. Statistics on early voting.

lawful:

zainyk:

jakke:

Oh hey so according to Gallup the story that everyone on tumblr has been telling about early voters favouring Obama is entirely inaccurate. Early voters have been favouring Romney in a big way. A six-point gap is quite large compared to the margin of error on a poll this size.

This story has been everywhere for the last day or so, presumably this lead could be made up of increased early voting in safe red states…

and if this is so monumental why then does gallup basically write it off? From their report:

“Political impact of early voting looks minimal…Thus far, early voters do not seem to be swaying the election toward either candidate.”

and also this:

Here are Gallup’s stats from October 28, 2008: Obama led in early voting by 15 points (55/40).  His election day edge was just three points.  He ended up winning by seven points.  One more note.  According to Gallup, by 10/28/08, the percentage of Americans who said they’d already voted or planned to vote early was 33 percent.  Four years later, that number sits at…33 percent.

NEWSFLASH - Gallup has no clue who is leading in early voting because they’re sampling and the actual results are not public record until after the election!

Hooray!

Here, Nerds. Statistics on early voting.

(via waitingonoblivion)

5:50pm  |   URL: http://tmblr.co/ZmCeYyWHpE3-
(Notes: 354)
  
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    GO VOTE!
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